Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 120.697594 133.525908 146.734629 161.323348 176.956219 193.177559 211.253724
2024-10-06 105.290918 124.967638 146.246604 170.845346 198.372619 228.105135 262.521926
2024-10-13 90.958894 115.435438 143.148018 176.535597 215.349942 258.737091 310.578557
2024-10-20 76.497530 103.744231 136.002562 176.414208 225.070356 281.159040 350.069644
2024-10-27 65.035466 94.045369 129.880619 176.422006 234.256223 302.758145 388.970354
2024-11-03 58.444086 89.501820 129.325490 182.670498 250.737186 333.177719 438.973142
2024-11-10 52.197640 84.552808 127.560302 186.872677 264.427238 360.283052 485.460885
2024-11-17 47.167732 80.588934 126.534450 191.610744 278.593569 388.050451 533.189957
2024-11-24 43.205312 77.627387 126.454501 197.314293 293.914356 417.421208 583.396301
2024-12-01 36.299136 69.434612 118.276780 191.257477 293.092049 425.723393 606.726902
2024-12-08 31.339898 63.617582 112.930384 188.602080 296.417689 439.154769 636.590157
2024-12-15 28.094588 60.161639 110.732353 190.149192 305.337531 459.957417 676.252467
2024-12-22 25.584386 57.736827 110.022318 193.954080 317.741391 486.044516 723.930034
2024-12-29 24.096028 56.940194 111.788662 201.495659 335.672184 520.056387 782.911481
2025-01-05 22.124793 55.016700 111.562680 205.923220 349.182459 548.271364 834.641382
2025-01-12 19.338973 51.167367 107.821054 204.622657 354.156513 564.665365 870.570360
2025-01-19 16.994455 47.839092 104.648257 203.950213 359.891196 582.099680 908.096912
2025-01-26 15.992919 47.143165 105.967694 210.492578 376.569957 615.258477 967.781375
2025-02-02 14.779843 45.818587 106.034493 214.913460 390.055525 644.035522 1021.757382
2025-02-09 13.773202 44.802953 106.549965 220.019628 404.627675 674.531688 1078.476333
2025-02-16 12.986978 44.184673 107.734291 226.246642 421.036971 707.917486 1139.687712
2025-02-23 10.816864 39.873136 101.539154 219.493198 416.769130 710.924281 1157.842425
2025-03-02 9.308914 36.914321 97.682966 216.524021 418.285120 722.317698 1187.952380